Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 5

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Collu di Cagliari G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Como		Ternana

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.28	3.3	3.5
	1.91	3.25	3.4
	2.17	3.38	3.32	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	3.39 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
43.6%

Draw
28.7%

Ternana
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

24.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Como - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 3. Sala M. 6. Iovine A. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 94. Kone B. L. 90. Verdi S. 9. Gabrielloni A. 10. Cutrone P.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 23. Diakite S. 19. Capuano M. 13. Mantovani V. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 25. Labojko J. 27. Favasuli C. 91. Corrado N. 17. Favilli A. 10. Falletti C.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 21. Arrigoni T. 84. Cassandro T. 7. Chajia M. 33. Da Cunha L. 44. Ioannou N. 20. Kerrigan L. 99. Mustapha S. 23. Scaglia F. 4. Solini M. 80. Vignali L. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	3. Celli A. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Lucchesi L. 73. Marginean I. 66. Pyyhtia N. 9. Raimondo A. 4. Sorensen F. 33. Travaglini C. 18. Vitali T. (G) 24. Viviani F.
Coaches
Longo M.	Lucarelli C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Como won 3.

Como is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ternana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Como have a series of guest games.

Como will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Como won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
03.09.23	Spezia - Como	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Como - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	Venezia - Como	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Lecce - Como	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Cagliari - Como	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLL
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.09.23	Ternana - Bari	0:0 ✺
30.08.23	Ternana - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Catanzaro - Ternana	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ternana - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Salernitana - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.05.23	Como - Ternana	3:1
18.12.22	Ternana - Como	0:3
15.03.22	Como - Ternana	1:1
01.11.21	Ternana - Como	1:2
Italian Super Cup Serie C
15.05.21	Como - Ternana	0:3
Italian Serie B
01.05.16	Como - Ternana	1:2
12.12.15	Ternana - Como	4:0

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