Match Info

Serie A - Round 28

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	09:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Moldova	16:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV1
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	21:00	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN Espanol, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	14:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Cagliari		Como

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.5	Watch
	5.25	3.8	1.66
	6.9	3.95	1.55	Watch
	7.2	4.2	1.54
	6.71	4.15	1.52	Watch
	6	3.9	1.5
	6.67	4.31	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.46 ↑ (5.2)	4.07 ↑ (3.95)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
14.8%

Draw
23.4%

Como
61.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.3%

24.1%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

23.5%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	6.5%	78.3%

Cagliari - Como Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Cagliari (2.16) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cagliari (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (36 of 46 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.34% – 90.18%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Como (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (C) 32. Pedro J. 22. Dossena A. 15. Rodriguez J. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 27. Liteta J. 25. Sulemana I. 33. Obert A. 90. Folorunsho M. 94. Esposito Se.	1. Butez J. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 17. Rodriguez J. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
20. Albarracin A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 39. Cogoni A. 3. Idrissi R. 9. Kilicsoy S. 40. Malfitano R. 31. Mendy P. 30. Pavoletti L. 18. Raterink O. 12. Sherri A. (G) 38. Sulev I. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.	6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 34. Diego Carlos 5. Goldaniga E. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 8. Roberto S. 28. Smolcic I. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 3. Valle A. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Baturina M. ⚽, Da Cunha L. (A),
36', Perrone M. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽, Obert A. (A),
62', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
65', Palestra M. 🟨,
71', Esposito Se. 🟨,
73', Pedro J. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Da Cunha L. ⚽, Van der Brempt I. (A),
78', Esposito Se. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
78', Liteta J. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
78', Rodriguez J. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
81', Paz N. ↓, Diego Carlos ↑,
81', Moreno A. ↓, Valle A. ↑,
81', Baturina M. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
83', Ramon J. 🟨,
87', Idrissi R. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
89', Dossena A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Como is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Mina Y. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Deiola A. (Injury) Gaetano G. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	9	20
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.17% Cagliari: 0.05%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
27.02.26	Parma - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cagliari - Lazio	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Roma - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLLW
- Calcio Como
Coppa Italia
03.03.26	Como - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Como - Lecce	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Juventus - Como	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Milan - Como	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Como - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.11.25	Como - Cagliari	0:0
10.05.25	Como - Cagliari	3:1
26.08.24	Cagliari - Como	1:1
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Cagliari - Como	1:3
02.08.23	Cagliari - Como	2:1
Italian Serie B
14.01.23	Cagliari - Como	2:0
13.08.22	Como - Cagliari	1:1

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