Match Info

Serie A - Round 28

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Cagliari		Como

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.5	Watch
	5.25	3.8	1.66
	6.9	3.95	1.55	Watch
	7.2	4.2	1.54
	6.71	4.15	1.52	Watch
	6	3.9	1.5
	6.67	4.31	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.46 ↑ (5.2)	4.07 ↑ (3.95)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
14.8%

Draw
23.4%

Como
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

24.1%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

23.6%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	6.5%	78.3%

Cagliari - Como Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Cagliari (2.16) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cagliari (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (36 of 46 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.34% – 90.18%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Como (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (C) 32. Pedro J. 22. Dossena A. 15. Rodriguez J. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 27. Liteta J. 25. Sulemana I. 33. Obert A. 90. Folorunsho M. 94. Esposito Se.	1. Butez J. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 17. Rodriguez J. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
20. Albarracin A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 39. Cogoni A. 3. Idrissi R. 9. Kilicsoy S. 40. Malfitano R. 31. Mendy P. 30. Pavoletti L. 18. Raterink O. 12. Sherri A. (G) 38. Sulev I. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.	6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 34. Diego Carlos 5. Goldaniga E. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 8. Roberto S. 28. Smolcic I. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 3. Valle A. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Baturina M. ⚽, Da Cunha L. (A),
36', Perrone M. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽, Obert A. (A),
62', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
65', Palestra M. 🟨,
71', Esposito Se. 🟨,
73', Pedro J. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Da Cunha L. ⚽, Van der Brempt I. (A),
78', Esposito Se. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
78', Liteta J. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
78', Rodriguez J. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
81', Paz N. ↓, Diego Carlos ↑,
81', Moreno A. ↓, Valle A. ↑,
81', Baturina M. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
83', Ramon J. 🟨,
87', Idrissi R. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
89', Dossena A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Como is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Mina Y. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Deiola A. (Injury) Gaetano G. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.53% Cagliari: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
27.02.26	Parma - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cagliari - Lazio	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Roma - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLLW
- Calcio Como
Coppa Italia
03.03.26	Como - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Como - Lecce	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Juventus - Como	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Milan - Como	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Como - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.11.25	Como - Cagliari	0:0
10.05.25	Como - Cagliari	3:1
26.08.24	Cagliari - Como	1:1
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Cagliari - Como	1:3
02.08.23	Cagliari - Como	2:1
Italian Serie B
14.01.23	Cagliari - Como	2:0
13.08.22	Como - Cagliari	1:1

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