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Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 36
  • Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Deportivo Alavés Barcelona
    Deportivo Alavés Barcelona
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↓
    (3.85)    		 3.75 ↓
    (4.21)    		 2.24 ↑
    (1.8)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Deportivo Alavés
    31.5%    		Draw
    25.6%    		Barcelona
    42.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    24.7% 22.6% 52.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    25% 22.9% 52.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Alavés's performance.
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Alavés that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    31.9% 8.3% 59.7%

    Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 23 - 32.9%). Barcelona will win (votes: 42 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 48.5% – 71.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Barcelona (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Alavés (1.65) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Alavés (1.74) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • DNB - Alavés (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Barcelona (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainSivera A. (G)
      7. SpainPerez A.
    14. ArgentinaTenaglia N.
    16. FinlandKoski V.
    24. SpainParada V.
    21. AlgeriaRebbach A.
    18. SpainGuridi J.
      8. SpainBlanco A. (C)
      4. SpainSuarez D.
    11. SpainMartinez T.
    22. IvoryDiabate I.
    		25. PolandSzczesny W. (G)
    23. FranceKounde J.
      5. SpainCubarsi P.
    36. SpainCortes A.
      3. SpainBalde A.
    17. SpainCasado M.
    22. SpainBernal M.
    19. SwedenBardghji R.
    20. SpainOlmo D.
    14. EnglandRashford M.
      9. PolandLewandowski R. (C)
    Substitutes
    10. SpainAlena C.
    20. BrazilCalebe
      9. DominicanDiaz M.
    13. SpainFernandez R. (G)
      6. SpainGuevara A.
    19. SpainIbanez P.
    17. SpainJonny Otto
    34. SpainManas A.
    27. SpainMunoz E.
      5. SpainPacheco J.
    23. UruguayProtesoni C.
      3. MoroccoYusi
    		33. SpainAller E. (G)
      4. UruguayAraujo R.
      2. PortugalCancelo J.
    15. DenmarkChristensen A.
    42. SpainEspart X.
    24. SpainGarcia E.
    13. SpainGarcia J. (G)
      6. SpainGavi
    43. SpainMarques T.
    18. SpainMartin G.
      8. SpainPedri
      7. SpainTorres F.
    Coaches
         SpainSanchez Flores Q.
    		     GermanyFlick H.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 45+1', 1 - 0, Diabate I. ⚽, Blanco A. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Rashford M. 🟨,
    • 62', Bardghji R. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
    • 62', Cubarsi P. ↓, Espart X. ↑,
    • 62', Casado M. ↓, Pedri ↑,
    • 64', Diabate I. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
    • 64', Suarez D. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
    • 79', Balde A. ↓, Cancelo J. ↑,
    • 80', Parada V. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
    • 81', Rebbach A. 🟨,
    • 87', Bernal M. ↓, Marques T. ↑,
    • 89', Cancelo J. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 0.
  • Recent performances by Alavés have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Barcelona is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Barcelona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 12:54. (average 0.6:2.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 2:26. (average 0.2:2.9).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Barcelona: 70.96% Alaves: 0.4%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona770031:72421
    6Alaves732211:6511

    Last Results with these Odds

    Deportivo Alavés - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.67%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.05.26 Elche - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺
    02.05.26 Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao 2:4 ✺
    25.04.26 Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca 2:1 ✺
    21.04.26 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 2:1 ✺
    11.04.26 Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés 3:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4
    TLWLT
    - FC Barcelona
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.05.26 Barcelona - Real Madrid 2:0 ✺
    02.05.26 Osasuna - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    25.04.26 Getafe - Barcelona 0:2 ✺
    22.04.26 Barcelona - Celta de Vigo 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    14.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8
    WWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    29.11.25 Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés 3:1
    02.02.25 Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés 1:0
    06.10.24 Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona 0:3
    03.02.24 Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona 1:3
    12.11.23 Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés 2:1
    23.01.22 Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona 0:1
    30.10.21 Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid ✺
    - FC Barcelona
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Galatasaray - Barcelona ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Barcelona - Getafe ✺

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