Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lopez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bolivia	15:00	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 2
Canada	15:00	TSN+
China	03:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	beIN Connect
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	03:00	Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	00:30	GXR World
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	22:30	Persiana Sports
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, TUDN
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	00:00	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	16:00	Tigo Sports
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, ETB, Gol Play, Gol Stadium, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tanzania	22:00	Azam Sports 1
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	SCTV Online
International	19:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App


	Deportivo Alavés		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.8	5.75
	1.66	4	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.95	5.9
	1.63	3.91	5.99	Watch
	1.62	3.75	6
	1.67	3.96	6.12	Watch
	1.66	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	3.91 ↑ (3.67)	5.78 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
58.7%

Draw
24.7%

Valladolid
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

24%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Alavés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	6.4%	9%

Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (64 of 74 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Abqar A. 22. Diarra M. 3. Sanchez M. 6. Guevara A. (C) 8. Blanco A. 18. Guridi J. 7. Vicente C. 11. Martinez T. 10. Conechny T.	13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 3. Torres D. 30. Ruiz R. C. 11. Moro R. 15. Comert E. 12. Martin M. 23. Anuar 21. Amallah S. 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
23. Benavidez C. 17. Garcia K. 35. Jay A. 24. Joan Jordan 15. Martin C. 12. Mourino S. 13. Owono J. (G) 36. Pica A. 21. Rebbach A. 20. Romero L. 19. Stoichkov 9. Villalibre A.	28. Chuki 1. Ferreira A. (G) 35. Juma Bah A. 20. Juric S. 24. Kenedy 14. Latasa J. 34. Maroto M. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 19. Ndiaye A. 8. Perez K. 10. Sanchez I.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Martinez T. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Sylla M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Moro R. 🟨,
61', Blanco A. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
61', Conechny T. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
69', Diarra M. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Amallah S. (Pen),
74', Martin M. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
74', Sanchez J. ↓, Juma Bah A. ↑,
74', Amallah S. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
74', Martinez T. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
74', Guridi J. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Anuar ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
77', Guevara A. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
78', Sanchez M. 🟨,
81', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
81', Pezzolano P. 🟨,
84', Sylla M. ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
90', Anuar ↓, Juric S. ↑,
90+4', Latasa J. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 3, Garcia K. ⚽, Abqar A. (A),
90+9', Garcia K. 🟨,
90+9', Garcia K. 🟨,
90+11', Abqar A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 4.

Alavés is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Rosa L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Alavés: Sedlar A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Ozkacar C. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) de la Hoz C. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alavés won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
06.10.24	Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Getafe - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
20.09.24	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Real Valladolid
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Leganés - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.10.24	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Valladolid - Mallorca	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Sevilla - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Valladolid - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
05.02.21	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	1:0
25.10.20	Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
04.07.20	Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
09.11.19	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	3:0
19.04.19	Deportivo Alavés - Valladolid	2:2
16.09.18	Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés	0:1

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