The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Comunicaciones 47.7%
Draw 30%
Defensores Unidos 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
28.4%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
30.6%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comunicaciones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comunicaciones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Comunicaciones - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bacher E. (G) 3. Compagnucci R. 4. Figueroa R. 9. Heidenreich J. 10. Ibanez J. 6. Mattia F. 5. Porto T. 8. Puigdellivol C. 11. Quevedo V. 7. Vazquez C. 2. Zabala G.
1. Henricot F. (G) 5. Baigorria A. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 9. Herrera S. 2. Lopez J. 8. Montani L. 3. Olivera L. 4. Ortigoza M. 6. Suarez F. 11. Tello J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Lopez J. 🟨,
21', Compagnucci R. 🟨,
29', Ibanez J. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vazquez C. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
46', Compagnucci R. ↓, Di Lena F. ↑,
52', Zabala G. ↓, Carruega I. ↑,
62', Sombra A. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
68', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
68', 🟨,
71', Alarcon M. N. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
75', Ruiz P. 🟨,
77', Olivera L. 🟨,
79', Quevedo V. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
81', Ramirez E. 🟨,
84', Girard T. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Heidenreich J. ⚽,
90+4', Lopez J. 🟥,
90+6', 🟥,
90+6', 2 - 0, Ramirez E. ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 19th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comunicaciones won 1.
Comunicaciones is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Defensores Unidos has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Comunicaciones is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Comunicaciones has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Comunicaciones against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Comunicaciones
38
14
13
11
39:34
5
55
18
Defensores Unidos
38
9
14
15
33:39
-6
41
Last Results with these Odds
Defensores Unidos - the odds 4.62 are the expected chance of winning is 19.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.