The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Merlo 41.8%
Draw 31.9%
Defensores Unidos 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
29.8%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
30.3%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Deportivo Merlo - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 4. Barrientos L. 5. Benitez F. 7. Da Rosa J. E. 2. Figueredo L. 3. Miguez L. 6. Minnicelli A. 11. Paez A. M. 10. Quinteros E. 9. Sandoval I.
1. Henricot F. (G) 8. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 9. Herrera S. 2. Lopez J. 3. Olivera L. 4. Ortigoza M. 11. Sombra A. 6. Suarez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Figueroa T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Paez A. M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
71', Sombra A. 🟨,
72', Hernandez R. 🟨,
72', Sombra A. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
74', Valdez F. ↓, Maguicha D. ↑,
74', Benitez F. ↓, Alfieri L. ↑,
78', Girard T. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
84', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Gugenheim C. ↑,
84', Sandoval I. ↓, Linas M. ↑,
90+2', Gugenheim C. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1.
Deportivo Merlo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Defensores Unidos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Deportivo Merlo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Dep. Merlo
38
10
14
14
36:51
-15
44
18
Defensores Unidos
38
9
14
15
33:39
-6
41
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.27%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Defensores Unidos - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 25.92%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.