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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Italiano 57%
Draw 27.1%
Defensores Unidos 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
28.5%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
27.1%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Italiano's performance.
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+3%)
Sportivo Italiano - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 8. Centurion F. 11. De Cuadro J. 6. Durante P. 3. Fantino L. 10. Gomez F. 9. Guzman M. 7. Laborda L. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
1. Henricot F. (G) 8. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 7. Girard T. 9. Herrera S. 2. Lopez J. 3. Olivera L. 4. Ortigoza M. 11. Redondo K. 10. Sombra A. 6. Suarez F.
Substitutes
19. Alarcon R. 12. Alastra A. (G) 18. Caceres P. 20. D'Acquila J. 14. Daivez A. 13. Di Massimo F. 15. Fortino R. 16. Hirigoyen T. 17. Molina F.
18. Carboni B. 19. D'Andrea F. 14. Ferreyra T. 20. Lopez M. 15. Montani L. 13. Rapetti M. 12. Salerno F. (G) 16. Salvo D. 17. Tello H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Herrera S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Suarez F. 🟨,
61', Herrera S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
62', Baigorria A. ↓, Montani L. ↑,
63', De Cuadro J. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
63', Gomez F. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
63', Rivero J. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
68', Sombra A. ↓, Salvo D. ↑,
68', Redondo K. ↓, Tello H. ↑,
74', Alarcon M. N. ↓, Rapetti M. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Ferreyra T. ⚽,
88', Laborda L. 🟨,
90', Hirigoyen T. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Rapetti M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).
Recent performances by Sportivo Italiano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Defensores Unidos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Defensores Unidos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sportivo Italiano is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Argentina
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Yordan G. (G) 
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