Match Info

Catarinense - 5th-8th places - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima (Concórdia)


	Concórdia		Criciúma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.35	3.51	1.55
	6.34	3.83	1.54	Watch
	6	3.25	1.57
	5.16	3.82	1.6
	6	3.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↓ (6)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	1.56 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concórdia
15.4%

Draw
25.7%

Criciúma
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

26.7%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

25.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concórdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Concórdia - Criciúma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira (G) 8. Anthonio Sergio 9. Campos Eric 5. da Costa Silva P. M. 17. Enzo Trentin 10. Gaudencio 3. Lucas Barboza 11. Luiz Phillipe 23. Matheus Maia 16. Puerari E. 4. Thiago Freitas	1. Alisson (G) 5. Cesar Martins 11. Diego Goncalves 7. Eduardo 8. Guilherme Lobo 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 3. Rodrigo 17. Thales 9. Waguininho 2. Willean Lepo
Substitutes
21. Caca . Cadore P. 18. Caike 25. Eberson 26. Flavio 20. Hiago 19. Joao Araujo 15. Leo Gama 12. Rodrigo (G) . William . Yuri Pastre	18. Bidu 15. Eliel Costa 13. Erick Garcia 12. Georgemy (G) 16. Hiago Alves 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 20. Leo Mana 6. Marcinho 19. Nicolas 14. Octavio Henrique 24. Santos P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Luiz Phillipe ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Guilherme Lobo ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, da Costa Silva P. M. ⚽,
45+2', Thales 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Thales ↓, Nicolas ↑,
46', Willean Lepo ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
46', Luciano Castan ↓, Marcinho ↑,
53', Oliveira 🟨,
58', 🟨,
61', Cesar Martins 🟨,
63', Luiz Phillipe ↓, Eberson ↑,
64', Eduardo ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
70', Matheus Maia ↓, Joao Araujo ↑,
72', Campos Eric 🟨,
75', Enzo Trentin 🟨,
77', Marcelo Hermes ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
83', Puerari E. ↓, Leo Gama ↑,
83', da Costa Silva P. M. ↓, Caca ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Nicolas ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Concórdia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Criciúma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Criciúma is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concórdia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Concórdia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
07.02.26	Brusque - Concórdia	2:1 penalties ✺
01.02.26	Concórdia - Brusque	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia	5:1 ✺
22.01.26	Concórdia - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Criciúma - Concórdia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLWL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.02.26	Chapecoense - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Criciúma - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Criciúma - Brusque	3:3 ✺
22.01.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Criciúma - Concórdia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
19.01.26	Criciúma - Concórdia	3:1
19.01.25	Criciúma - Concórdia	2:0
24.01.24	Concórdia - Criciúma	1:2
15.01.23	Criciúma - Concórdia	0:0
18.04.21	Concórdia - Criciúma	0:0

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