Match Info

National - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Concarneau		Fleury 91

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.68
	2.69	3.2	2.83
	4.70	3.89	1.64	Watch
	2.65	3.06	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.44)	3.28 ↑ (3.15)	2.48 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
30.8%

Draw
29.7%

Fleury 91
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concarneau's form might have worsened.

Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleury 91's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleury 91, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Concarneau - Fleury 91 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Cenatiempo V. (G) 27. Halby J. 4. Jannez G. (C) 6. Seba D. 5. Etcheverria B. 26. Sinquin T. 11. Soukouna Y. 23. Goujon L. 14. Mercier N. 8. Picouleau M. 9. Tell J.	40. Alette G. (G) 23. Bovis E. (C) 4. Vogt Q. 26. Karamoko H. 21. Tchouatcha J. 22. Badin C. 5. Aubourg H. 8. Leleve R. 28. Homssa N. 17. Lavigne V. 19. Farade K.
Substitutes
30. Boulais R. (G) 17. Daf O. 21. El Khemiri Y. 10. Gbelle G. 3. Inquel S.	2. Colombo F. 27. Gannoun K. 6. Lefebvre G. 9. Rivas J. 11. Sylla S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Farade K. ⚽, Badin C. (A),
37', Goujon L. 🟨,
37', Farade K. 🟨,
45+1', Bovis E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Badin C. 🟨,
59', Mercier N. ↓, Gbelle G. ↑,
65', Sinquin T. 🟨,
65', Sinquin T. 🟨,
68', Homssa N. ↓, Lefebvre G. ↑,
68', Lavigne V. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
73', Soukouna Y. ↓, El Khemiri Y. ↑,
73', Etcheverria B. ↓, Inquel S. ↑,
78', Farade K. ↓, Gannoun K. ↑,
78', Badin C. ↓, Sylla S. ↑,
78', Halby J. ↓, Daf O. ↑,
80', Aubourg H. 🟨,
86', Aubourg H. ↓, Colombo F. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Fleury-Merogis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Concarneau has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Concarneau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
12.09.25	Versailles - Concarneau	4:0 ✺
05.09.25	Concarneau - Quevilly	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Aubagne - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Concarneau	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Villefranche - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWT
- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
05.09.25	Villefranche - Fleury 91	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Fleury 91 - Caen	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Fleury 91	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Fleury 91 - Stade Briochin	4:1 ✺
08.08.25	Rouen FC - Fleury 91	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group D
28.05.16	Fleury 91 - Concarneau	0:0

Concarneau - Fleury 91: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide