Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Concarneau		Nantes

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.7	Watch
	4.3	3.95	1.78
	4.01	4.01	1.77	Watch
	4	3.6	1.8
	4.29	3.68	1.76	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (4)	3.74 ↓ (3.99)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
22.2%

Draw
24.9%

Nantes
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

23.4%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

19.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Concarneau - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patron P. (G) 5. Etcheverria B. 6. Seba D. 4. Jannez G. (C) 2. Sinquin T. 3. Amede Kabongo R. 11. Soukouna Y. 8. Picouleau M. 10. Goujon L. 7. Samoura A. 9. Tell J.	1. Lopes A. (C) 2. Amian K. 4. Radakovic U. 3. Cozza N. 5. Centonze F. 8. Mwanga J. 6. Deuff B. 11. Machado D. 7. Tabibou D. 9. El Arabi Y. 10. Abline M.
Substitutes
17. Daf O. 12. El Khemiri Y. 14. Gbelle G. 19. Hocquet G. 13. Inquel S. 15. Le Bonniec M. 18. Sylvestre G. 20. Tutu G. 16. Viot V. (G)	12. Acapandie M. 14. Camara A. 16. Carlgren P. (G) 13. Coquelin F. 20. Doucoure S. 18. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 15. Lahdo M. 17. Lepenant J. 19. Tati T.
Coaches
Rossi S.	Kantari A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Deuff B. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Cozza N. (Own goal),
23', 1 - 2, El Arabi Y. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
38', 1 - 3, Centonze F. ⚽,
45', 2 - 3, Samoura A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Amian K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 2 - 4, Abline M. ⚽, Centonze F. (A),
57', Amede Kabongo R. ↓, Inquel S. ↑,
58', 2 - 5, Abline M. ⚽, El Arabi Y. (A),
65', Seba D. ↓, Gbelle G. ↑,
66', Tell J. ↓, Daf O. ↑,
69', Tabibou D. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
73', Jannez G. 🟨,
74', 3 - 5, Soukouna Y. ⚽, Daf O. (A),
75', Machado D. 🟨,
81', El Arabi Y. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
81', Picouleau M. ↓, El Khemiri Y. ↑,
82', Etcheverria B. ↓, Tutu G. ↑,
89', Centonze F. 🟨,
90+5', Centonze F. ↓, Acapandie M. ↑,

Preview

Concarneau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nantes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Nantes is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
12.12.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Concarneau - Stade Briochin	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
28.11.25	Concarneau - Stade Briochin	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Rouen FC - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Concarneau - Orleans	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWTW
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
12.12.25	Angers - Nantes	4:1 ✺
06.12.25	Nantes - Lens	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Lyon - Nantes	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Nantes - Lorient	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Le Havre - Nantes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTT

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