Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lyon		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.9	7.3
	1.42	4.98	7.72
	1.45	4.65	6.48	Watch
	1.46	4.93	7.7	Watch
	1.4	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	4.83 ↑ (4.51)	7.45 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
67.3%

Draw
19.8%

Nantes
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.9%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.3%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	7.8%	9.8%

Lyon - Nantes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Lyon (1.86) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (41 of 50 users predict this - 82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.35% – 92.65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 24 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 6. Tessmann T. 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 33. Hateboer H. 23. Morton T. 39. de Carvalho M. 16. Abner Vinicius 10. Sulc P. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 20. Satriano M.	1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 3. Cozza N. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 8. Lepenant J. 80. Mwanga J. 15. Lahdo M. 19. El Arabi Y. 10. Abline M.
Substitutes
41. Barisic T. 40. Descamps R. (G) 32. Gomes A. 34. Hamdani A. 7. Karabec A. 98. Maitland-Niles A. 5. Mangala O. 44. Merah K. 17. Moreira A.	14. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 18. Centonze F. 52. Deuff B. 11. Guirassy B. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 31. Mostafa Mohamed 26. Radakovic U. 69. Ziani S.
Coaches
Maciel J.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Tati T. 🟨,
43', Mwanga J. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Abner Vinicius ⚽,
57', Morton T. 🟨,
58', Lahdo M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
59', El Arabi Y. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Satriano M. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
72', Hateboer H. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
72', de Carvalho M. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Satriano M. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
78', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Radakovic U. ↑,
85', Satriano M. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
85', Morton T. ↓, Mangala O. ↑,
88', Lepenant J. 🟨,
89', Tati T. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
89', Lepenant J. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
90', Tessmann T. ↓, Merah K. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lyon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lyon is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Lyon: Clinton Mata (Injury) Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Kluivert R. (Ankle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Leroux L. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:16. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lyon	0:6 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.11.25	Auxerre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Betis - Lyon	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLT
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
23.11.25	Nantes - Lorient	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Le Havre - Nantes	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nantes - Metz	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Nantes - Monaco	3:5 ✺
24.10.25	Paris FC - Nantes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.01.25	Nantes - Lyon	1:1
06.10.24	Lyon - Nantes	2:0
07.04.24	Nantes - Lyon	1:3
20.12.23	Lyon - Nantes	1:0
Coupe De France
05.04.23	Nantes - Lyon	1:0
French Ligue 1
17.03.23	Lyon - Nantes	1:1
11.01.23	Nantes - Lyon	0:0

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