Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 GOLD Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Le Havre		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.35	4.15
	1.9	3.42	4.72
	2.02	3.31	3.85	Watch
	1.95	3.39	4.46	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	4.23 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Le Havre
48.7%

Draw
28.7%

Nantes
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

28.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	18.5%	25.9%

Le Havre - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Nantes (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Le Havre will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 3 - 75%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 7. Nego L. 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 15. Seko A. 94. Toure A. 14. Ndiaye R. 8. Kechta Y. 10. Mambimbi F. 45. Soumare I.	30. Carlgren P. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 66. Leroux L. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 80. Mwanga J. 17. Tabibou D. 11. Guirassy B. 19. El Arabi Y. 10. Abline M.
Substitutes
23. Delaine T. 13. Doucoure F. 26. Ebonog S. 30. Khadra R. 11. Kyeremeh G. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 21. Namli Y. 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 29. Zagadou S.	90. Benhattab Y. 14. Camara A. 18. Centonze F. 3. Cozza N. 52. Deuff B. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 50. Mirbach A. (G) 31. Mostafa Mohamed 26. Radakovic U.
Coaches
Digard D.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Amian K. (A),
22', Abline M. 🟨,
27', Nego L. 🟨,
40', Kechta Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
60', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 🟨,
63', Mambimbi F. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
63', Kechta Y. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
71', El Arabi Y. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
71', Guirassy B. ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
78', Leroux L. 🟨,
79', Nego L. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
79', Ndiaye R. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
85', Abline M. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
90+2', Namli Y. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Lloris G. ⚽, Doucoure F. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2.

Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nantes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Le Havre is the team to beat.

There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Lepenant J. (Injury) Lopes A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Pizarro D. (Inactive) Samatta A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Nantes: Hong Hyun-Seok (Muscle Injury) Lahdo M. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Toulouse - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Le Havre - Brest	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	6:2 ✺
05.10.25	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWWLT
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Nantes - Metz	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Nantes - Monaco	3:5 ✺
24.10.25	Paris FC - Nantes	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Nantes - Lille	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Brest - Nantes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.03.25	Le Havre - Nantes	3:2
24.11.24	Nantes - Le Havre	0:2
14.04.24	Le Havre - Nantes	0:1
26.11.23	Nantes - Le Havre	0:0
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Nantes - Le Havre	3:1
French Ligue 2
23.02.13	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0
21.09.12	Le Havre - Nantes	1:1

Upcoming Matches