Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 45

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Concord Rangers		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	2.95	3.4	2.1
	3.16	3.44	2.19
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	3.08	3.5	2.15
	2.85	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (4.22)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	2.09 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
28.8%

Draw
27.1%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

26.4%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Concord Rangers's performance.

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hampton & Richmond Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Concord Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hampton & Richmond Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Concord Rangers - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hampton & Richmond could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Hampton & Richmond will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Concord won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
20.04.23	Concord Rangers - Dartford	3:2 ✺
18.04.23	Concord Rangers - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Bath City - Concord Rangers	4:0 ✺
13.04.23	Concord Rangers - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWLWL
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
15.04.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Taunton Town	3:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Concord Rangers	3:0
08.01.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Concord Rangers	2:1
28.08.21	Concord Rangers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1
04.01.20	Concord Rangers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2
07.09.19	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Concord Rangers	2:3
16.03.19	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Concord Rangers	1:4
04.12.18	Concord Rangers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	4:0

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