Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 44

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.42	4.25	5.5
	1.49	4.31	6.26
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.45	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	4.25 ↑ (3.8)	5.95 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
63.1%

Draw
21.5%

Concord Rangers
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

24.2%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

16.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Concord Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bath City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bath City - Concord Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Bath could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bath is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bath won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 33-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
10.04.23	Weymouth - Bath City	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Welling United - Bath City	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Bath City - St Albans City	1:3 ✺
14.03.23	Bath City - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
13.04.23	Concord Rangers - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Worthing - Concord Rangers	7:0 ✺
04.04.23	Taunton Town - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Farnborough - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.10.22	Concord Rangers - Bath City	0:2
09.04.22	Concord Rangers - Bath City	3:1
20.11.21	Bath City - Concord Rangers	2:1
08.12.20	Concord Rangers - Bath City	3:2
15.02.20	Concord Rangers - Bath City	0:1
English FA Trophy
28.01.20	Bath City - Concord Rangers	1:2
11.01.20	Concord Rangers - Bath City	1:1

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