Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 23

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday


	Concord Rangers		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.55
	3.7	3.65	1.75
	1.98	3.35	3.15
	4.05	3.9	1.74
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	4.4	3.82	1.71
	3.85	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.38)	3.56 ↑ (3.26)	2.28 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
30.3%

Draw
27.2%

Hungerford Town
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.9%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

30.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concord Rangers's form might have worsened.

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hungerford Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concord Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hungerford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	18.7%	62.5%

Concord Rangers - Hungerford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Concord will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Hungerford will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hungerford: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Concord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Concord will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Concord won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
10.04.23	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Worthing - Concord Rangers	7:0 ✺
04.04.23	Taunton Town - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Farnborough - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hungerford Town
English National League South
10.04.23	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Tonbridge Angels - Hungerford Town	4:3 ✺
18.03.23	Hungerford Town - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.23	Weymouth - Hungerford Town	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.08.22	Hungerford Town - Concord Rangers	0:1
26.02.22	Hungerford Town - Concord Rangers	1:0
23.10.21	Concord Rangers - Hungerford Town	1:4
17.10.20	Hungerford Town - Concord Rangers	1:0
19.10.19	Concord Rangers - Hungerford Town	0:2
05.01.19	Hungerford Town - Concord Rangers	2:1
18.08.18	Concord Rangers - Hungerford Town	4:0

Concord Rangers - Hungerford Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide