Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 39

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday


	Concord Rangers		Dartford

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.5
	5	4	1.5
	5.85	3.97	1.56
	6.5	3.75	1.47
	5.7	4.15	1.52
	5.8	4.1	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (4.8)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
16.1%

Draw
23.1%

Dartford
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

26.1%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

25.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dartford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Concord Rangers - Dartford Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Concord will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dartford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 2.

Concord is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dartford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Concord could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dartford is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Concord won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
18.04.23	Concord Rangers - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Bath City - Concord Rangers	4:0 ✺
13.04.23	Concord Rangers - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Worthing - Concord Rangers	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLL
- Dartford
English National League South
15.04.23	Tonbridge Angels - Dartford	0:1 ✺
13.04.23	Dartford - Taunton Town	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Dartford - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Eastbourne Borough - Dartford	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Dartford - Dulwich Hamlet	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.11.22	Dartford - Concord Rangers	3:1
25.01.22	Dartford - Concord Rangers	0:0
02.11.21	Concord Rangers - Dartford	1:0
21.12.19	Dartford - Concord Rangers	0:1
14.09.19	Concord Rangers - Dartford	0:2
26.01.19	Dartford - Concord Rangers	1:1
14.08.18	Concord Rangers - Dartford	2:0

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