Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 43

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday


	Concord Rangers		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.8	1.29
	7.5	4.25	1.35
	8.85	4.94	1.34
	8.7	4.95	1.32
	8.4	4.8	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.24 ↑ (4.64)	4.75 ↑ (3.6)	1.32 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
11.1%

Draw
19.3%

St Albans City
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

25.4%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

24.5%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concord Rangers's form might have worsened.

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Albans City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concord Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Albans City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Concord Rangers - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 2.

Concord has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches St Albans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Concord could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Concord have a series of guest games.

Recently St Albans have a series of home games.

In this match St Albans is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's St Albans to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Concord won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
07.04.23	Worthing - Concord Rangers	7:0 ✺
04.04.23	Taunton Town - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Farnborough - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	3:0 ✺
14.03.23	Concord Rangers - Chelmsford City	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- St Albans City
English National League South
07.04.23	St Albans City - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
28.03.23	St Albans City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	St Albans City - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	St Albans City - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.10.22	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	1:0
22.03.22	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	2:1
12.03.22	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	0:1
English FA Cup
21.09.21	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	2:0
18.09.21	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	0:0
English National League South
10.10.20	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	1:1
26.08.19	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	2:1

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