Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 21

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Concord Rangers		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.93
	3.2	3.25	2.04
	3.3	3.4	1.99
	3.34	3.41	2.06
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.24	3.45	2.02
	3.3	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.45)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.01 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
27.8%

Draw
27.1%

Hemel Hempstead Town
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concord Rangers's form might have worsened.

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hemel Hempstead Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concord Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Concord Rangers - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hemel Hempstead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Concord have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Concord won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
26.11.22	Dartford - Concord Rangers	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Concord Rangers - Harrow Borough	2:4 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Concord Rangers - Welling United	1:1 ✺
08.11.22	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Concord Rangers - Chippenham Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
26.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
22.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	King`s Lynn Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
08.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.02.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	3:1
04.09.21	Concord Rangers - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0
06.02.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	Canceled
22.02.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	1:0
02.11.19	Concord Rangers - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
23.02.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	2:2
01.12.18	Concord Rangers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1

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