Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 18

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday


	Concord Rangers		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.7	3.15	2.38
	3	3.3	2.15
	2.75	3.26	2.45
	2.8	3.1	2.38
	2.7	3.32	2.38
	2.85	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.7)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.34 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
32.6%

Draw
28.5%

Tonbridge Angels
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

29.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Concord will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tonbridge will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tonbridge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tonbridge will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Concord won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
29.10.22	Concord Rangers - Chippenham Town	3:1 ✺
25.10.22	Dover Athletic - Concord Rangers	0:3 ✺
22.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Concord Rangers	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Concord Rangers - Bath City	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLLL
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
05.11.22	Tonbridge Angels - Bath City	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	Taunton Town - Tonbridge Angels	4:1 ✺
25.10.22	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Dartford - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.03.22	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	1:1
02.10.21	Tonbridge Angels - Concord Rangers	2:3
09.02.21	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	Canceled
01.12.20	Tonbridge Angels - Concord Rangers	2:0
14.03.20	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	3:3
13.08.19	Tonbridge Angels - Concord Rangers	1:0
08.04.14	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	2:2

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