Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 19

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Concord Rangers		Welling United

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	2.9	3.3	2.16
	3	3.4	2.11
	3.11	3.61	2.12
	2.9	3.25	2.25
	3.13	3.48	2.06
	3	3.4	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.7)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.12 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
30.3%

Draw
26.8%

Welling United
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

27.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Concord Rangers - Welling United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Concord will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Welling will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Welling will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Concord won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
08.11.22	Concord Rangers - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Concord Rangers - Chippenham Town	3:1 ✺
25.10.22	Dover Athletic - Concord Rangers	0:3 ✺
22.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Concord Rangers	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Concord Rangers - Bath City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWLL
- Welling United
English National League South
08.11.22	Welling United - Slough Town	0:0 ✺
01.11.22	Dartford - Welling United	5:1 ✺
29.10.22	Welling United - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Braintree Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
22.10.22	Ebbsfleet United - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.05.22	Concord Rangers - Welling United	2:1
30.08.21	Welling United - Concord Rangers	2:1
10.11.20	Concord Rangers - Welling United	1:1
31.08.19	Concord Rangers - Welling United	3:0
29.12.18	Welling United - Concord Rangers	0:1
27.08.18	Concord Rangers - Welling United	0:5
24.02.18	Concord Rangers - Welling United	0:2

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