Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 19

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Oxford City		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	1.86	3.25	3.75
	2	3.5	3.2
	2.04	3.39	3.42
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.98	3.42	3.38
	1.94	3.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	3.45 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
46.6%

Draw
27%

Hemel Hempstead Town
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hemel Hempstead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oxford City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
08.11.22	Worthing - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Fleetwood Town - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
English National League South
01.11.22	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Farnborough - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Oxford City - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
08.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Chippenham Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.02.22	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0
09.10.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Oxford City	0:4
19.01.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Oxford City	3:5
24.08.19	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
06.04.19	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
English FA Cup
23.10.18	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	5:0
20.10.18	Hemel Hempstead Town - Oxford City	1:1

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