Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 29

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Concord Rangers		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3.5	3.35	1.93
	3.74	3.41	1.93
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.6	3.5	1.89
	3.5	3.35	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.64)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
25.4%

Draw
27.2%

Oxford City
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

27.4%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Concord Rangers - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Oxford City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oxford City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Concord won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
01.01.23	Concord Rangers - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Cheshunt - Concord Rangers	4:2 ✺
06.12.22	Slough Town - Concord Rangers	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Concord Rangers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Dartford - Concord Rangers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTWL
- Oxford City
English National League South
14.01.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Oxford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	Slough Town - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	Oxford City - Slough Town	1:3 ✺
13.12.22	Oxford City - Chippenham Town	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.08.22	Oxford City - Concord Rangers	5:0
30.04.22	Concord Rangers - Oxford City	1:2
21.08.21	Oxford City - Concord Rangers	3:3
03.08.19	Oxford City - Concord Rangers	0:3
13.04.19	Concord Rangers - Oxford City	0:1
13.10.18	Oxford City - Concord Rangers	2:0
03.02.18	Concord Rangers - Oxford City	2:1

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