Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	12:30	BT Sport


	Oxford City		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.4
	1.88	3.4	3.5
	1.96	3.37	3.68
	2.1	3.5	3
	1.97	3.55	3.7
	1.95	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (3.04)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	3.46 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
46.7%

Draw
26.9%

St Albans City
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.3%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Albans City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Albans City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Oxford City - St Albans City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). St Albans will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

St Albans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oxford City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
07.05.23	Oxford City - Worthing	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Bath City - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Oxford City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Dover Athletic - Oxford City	1:5 ✺
10.04.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTWW
- St Albans City
English National League South
07.05.23	Dartford - St Albans City	1:2 penalties ✺
02.05.23	Chelmsford City - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Dartford - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	St Albans City - Welling United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.01.23	Oxford City - St Albans City	2:1
13.08.22	St Albans City - Oxford City	0:1
02.05.22	Oxford City - St Albans City	3:1
08.03.22	St Albans City - Oxford City	1:1
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Oxford City - St Albans City	1:4
English National League South
08.12.20	Oxford City - St Albans City	0:0
15.02.20	St Albans City - Oxford City	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
31.10.26	Oxford City - South Shields	✺
- St Albans City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.10.26	Whitehawk - St Albans City	✺

Oxford City - St Albans City