Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 28

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday


	Hampton & Richmond Borough		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	1.98
	2.95	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.07
	3.05	3.44	2.21
	3.4	3.2	2.05
	3.04	3.36	2.14
	3.1	3.4	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.5)	3.33 ↓ (3.6)	2.1 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hampton & Richmond Borough
29.3%

Draw
27.3%

Oxford City
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

25.4%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hampton & Richmond Borough's form might have worsened.

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hampton & Richmond Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Hampton & Richmond Borough - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hampton & Richmond won 1.

Hampton & Richmond is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oxford City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oxford City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hampton & Richmond won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Hampton & Richmond won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
07.01.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
01.01.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	4:3 ✺
03.12.22	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLTL
- Oxford City
English National League South
07.01.23	Oxford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	Slough Town - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	Oxford City - Slough Town	1:3 ✺
13.12.22	Oxford City - Chippenham Town	5:3 ✺
10.12.22	Eastbourne Borough - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.08.22	Oxford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0
05.02.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Oxford City	0:3
25.09.21	Oxford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1
31.10.20	Oxford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2
14.03.20	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Oxford City	1:1
English FA Cup
05.10.19	Oxford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0
English National League South
13.08.19	Oxford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:2

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