Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Confiança		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	2.95	3.50
	2.02	2.98	3.55	Watch
	2	3.14	4
	2.04	3.08	3.93	Watch
	1.98	3	3.95
	2.03	3.33	3.64	Watch
	2.01	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.23)	3.06 ↑ (2.85)	3.72 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
45.5%

Draw
29.9%

Barra Santa Catarina
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barra Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Barra will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 8. Gabriel Zeca 11. Iago Silva 4. Icaro (C) 7. Joao Pedro 6. Kelvyn 3. Lucas Cunha 9. Maikon Aquino 2. Mateus Ludke 10. PK 13. Renilson	1. Ewerton (G) 11. Cleo Silva 4. Everton Alemao 2. Fabio 3. Jean Pierre (C) 7. Marcelinho 8. Nikolas 5. Tete 6. Vava Franca 9. Vinicius Popo 10. Warley Jr
Substitutes
21. Breiner C. 17. Danielzinho 18. Fabricio 14. Joao Mandovani 19. Keirrison 16. Marcelo Nunes 20. Matheus Juliao 12. Matheus Silva (G) 5. Paulo Henrique 99. Sassa 22. Valdir Junior 23. Weriton	13. Da Rocha 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 18. Lucas Vargas 17. Matheuzinho 15. Natan Costa 16. Nicolas 14. Pablo Gabriel 20. Renan Bernabe 19. Saymon
Coaches
Thiago Gomes	Franco B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Marcelinho ⚽,
43', Tete 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Maikon Aquino ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nikolas Francisco ↓, Pablo Gabriel ↑,
46', Tete ↓, Natan Costa ↑,
46', Gabriel Zeca ↓, Valdir Junior ↑,
64', Kelvyn ↓, Marcelo Nunes ↑,
64', Iago Silva ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
65', Vinicius Popo ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
71', Marcelinho ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
72', Maikon Aquino ↓, Sassa ↑,
77', Renilson ↓, Weriton ↑,
84', Cleo Silva ↓, Saymon ↑,
86', Saymon 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Saymon ⚽,
90+3', Saymon 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 17).

Confiança has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barra has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Confiança could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
28.06.26	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1 ✺
22.06.26	Confiança - Guarani	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Volta Redonda - Confiança	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Confiança - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLLT
- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
27.06.26	Floresta - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Ferroviária - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Guarani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide