Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 16

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Referee: Nakamura F. (Jpn)


	Consadole Sapporo		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.1
	3.36	3.46	2.03	Watch
	3.45	3.69	2.12
	3.45	3.69	2.12
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.45	3.49	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.08)	3.53 ↑ (3.49)	2.09 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
28.2%

Draw
26.7%

Kashima Antlers
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

27.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

27.4%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	29.4%	58.8%

Consadole Sapporo - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Kashima will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Okamura D. 6. Nakamura T. 30. Tanaka H. 88. Baba S. 27. Arano T. 4. Suga D. 14. Komai Y. 19. Sarachat S. 13. Kim Gun-Hee	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 32. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 2. Anzai K. 25. Sano K. 13. Chinen K. 36. Morooka S. 30. Nago S. 33. Nakama H. 40. Suzuki Y.
Substitutes
35. Hara K. 16. Hasegawa T. 15. Ieizumi R. 17. Kodama J. (G) 47. Nishino S. 23. Omori S. 37. Tanaka K.	7. Cavric A. 14. Higuchi Y. 37. Kakita Y. 27. Matsumura Y. 10. Shibasaki G. 16. Sugai H. 31. Yamada T. (G)
Coaches
Petrovic M.	Popovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Kim Gun-Hee 🟨,
32', Baba S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Nago S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Nago S. ⚽,
56', Morooka S. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
62', Takao R. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
62', Tanaka H. ↓, Hara K. ↑,
62', Kim Gun-Hee ↓, Ieizumi R. ↑,
62', Nakamura T. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
70', Nago S. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
70', Nakama H. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Cavric A. ⚽, Higuchi Y. (A),
90+1', Suzuki Y. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
90+1', Nono K. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 0.

Recent matches Consadole Sapporo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kashima is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kashima will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 9-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Consadole Sapporo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Nagano Parceiro - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
19.05.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
15.05.24	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Consadole Sapporo	3:0 ✺
06.05.24	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.05.24	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
15.05.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	1:3 ✺
12.05.24	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	3:3 ✺
06.05.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.08.23	Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo	3:0
03.05.23	Consadole Sapporo - Kashima Antlers	0:1
10.07.22	Consadole Sapporo - Kashima Antlers	0:0
14.05.22	Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo	4:1
27.06.21	Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo	4:0
Japan J League Cup
19.05.21	Consadole Sapporo - Kashima Antlers	0:0
20.04.21	Kashima Antlers - Consadole Sapporo	3:0

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