Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Machida Zelvia		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.1	Watch
	2.41	3.22	3.24
	2.34	3.24	3.17	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.32	3.14	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)	3.13 ↓ (3.37)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
40.4%

Draw
30%

Kashima Antlers
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

31.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kashima will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 19. Nakayama Y. 11. Masuyama A. 23. Shirasaki R. 31. Lavi N. 88. Nakamura H. 27. Erik 10. Na Sang-Ho 99. Yengi T.	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 16. Mizoguchi S. 27. Matsumura Y. 10. Shibasaki G. (C) 6. Misao K. 40. Suzuki Y. 9. Leo Ceara 11. Tagawa K.
Substitutes
5. Dresevic I. 9. Fujio S. 26. Hayashi K. 16. Mae H. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 20. Nishimura T. 8. Sento K. 7. Soma Y.	71. Araki R. 77. Cavric A. 13. Chinen K. 17. Elber 24. Hayashu H. 14. Higuchi Y. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 7. Ogawa R. 5. Sekigawa I.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
42', Nakayama Y. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Misao K. ⚽, Tagawa K. (A),
45+1', Na Sang-Ho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shirasaki R. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
46', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
46', Nakamura H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
46', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
65', Matsumura Y. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
65', Tagawa K. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
74', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
74', Shibasaki G. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
82', Lavi N. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Cavric A. ⚽, Leo Ceara (A),
90+3', Leo Ceara ↓, Sekigawa I. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.

Machida Zelvia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kashima is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Kashima has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury) Vasquez B. (Injury)

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Soma Y. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
3	Machida	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.03.26	Machida Zelvia - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTWL
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
14.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
27.08.25	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	3:0
Japan J1 League
21.06.25	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	2:1
03.05.25	Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia	1:0
08.12.24	Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia	3:1
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	2:0
Japan J1 League
09.03.24	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
11.07.18	Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia	5:1

Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide