Match Info

J2 League - Round 24

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Consadole Sapporo		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.72	Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.84
	2.40	3.39	2.79	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.8
	2.38	3.3	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.28)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	2.75 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
38.7%

Draw
27.9%

Sagan Tosu
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Takagi S. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Urakami N. 55. Miya D. 6. Takamine T. 71. Shirai H. 14. Tanaka K. 47. Nishino S. 35. Hara K. 20. Bakayoko A. 7. Sarachat S.	12. Izumori R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 37. Morishita R. 32. Ogawa S. 5. Nagasawa S. 2. Matsumoto N. 27. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 11. Nishikawa J. 77. Slivka V. 34. Yamada H.
Substitutes
11. Aoki R. 27. Arano T. 15. Ieizumi R. 99. Izuma S. 17. Kodama J. (G) 90. Mario Sergio 10. Miyazawa H. 22. Safo K. 30. Tanaka H.	18. Hino S. 10. Honda F. 4. Imazu Y. 33. Nishiya K. 16. Nishizawa K. 14. Sakaiya K. 47. Shinkawa S. 19. Suzuki D. 35. Uchiyama K. (G)
Coaches
Iwamasa D.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Takamine T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Bakayoko A. ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
56', Yamada H. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
57', Matsumoto N. ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
64', Hara K. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
64', Sarachat S. ↓, Aoki R. ↑,
69', Shirai H. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
69', Tanaka K. ↓, Arano T. ↑,
73', Nishikawa J. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
73', Sakurai T. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Arano T. ⚽,
80', Slivka V. ↓, Honda F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Consadole Sapporo won 1.

In recent matches, Consadole Sapporo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tosu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Consadole Sapporo won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Consadole Sapporo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sagan Tosu - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	5:1 ✺
05.07.25	Consadole Sapporo - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Consadole Sapporo - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
21.06.25	Fujieda MYFC - Consadole Sapporo	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
18.06.25	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	JEF United Chiba - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sagan Tosu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Omiya Ardija - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	2:1
Japan J1 League
16.08.24	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	5:3
02.03.24	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	4:0
12.08.23	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	1:1
10.06.23	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	1:1
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	4:1
08.03.23	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	0:0

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