Match Info

J2 League - Round 20

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.6
				Watch
	1.98	3.61	3.99
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	1.91	3.42	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)	3.77 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
48.1%

Draw
27.4%

Sagan Tosu
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Omiya Ardija - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Omiya (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Omiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 55. Gabriel 4. Ichihara R. 20. Shimoguchi W. 37. Sekiguchi K. 6. Ishikawa T. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 29. Caprini 23. Sugimoto K. 90. Sunday O.	12. Izumori R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 37. Morishita R. 32. Ogawa S. 5. Nagasawa S. 2. Matsumoto N. 27. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 11. Nishikawa J. 16. Nishizawa K. 77. Slivka V.
Substitutes
42. Fujii K. 9. Gonzalez F. 21. Kato Y. (G) 22. Motegi R. 34. Murakami Y. 10. Toyokawa Y. 18. Tsukui T. 33. Wada T. 41. Yachida T.	26. Ando T. 44. Horigome Y. 4. Imazu Y. 8. Narahara Y. 33. Nishiya K. 47. Shinkawa S. 19. Suzuki D. 35. Uchiyama K. (G) 34. Yamada H.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Gabriel 🟨,
36', Slivka V. 🟨,
42', Caprini 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nishikawa J. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
61', Sunday O. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
61', Sugimoto K. ↓, Toyokawa Y. ↑,
61', Caprini ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
72', Arai H. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
72', Nishizawa K. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
79', Nagasawa S. ↓, Narahara Y. ↑,
83', Toyokawa Y. (Pen),
86', Gabriel 🟨,
86', Izumi T. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
86', Matsumoto N. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
90+1', Sekiguchi K. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Omiya could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Omiya won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
15.06.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	3:3 ✺
08.06.25	Omiya Ardija - Ehime	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Omiya Ardija - Vegalta Sendai	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWW
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
14.06.25	Mito HollyHock - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
15.03.25	Sagan Tosu - Omiya Ardija	1:0
Japan J1 League
19.08.17	Sagan Tosu - Omiya Ardija	3:0
04.06.17	Omiya Ardija - Sagan Tosu	1:1
25.09.16	Omiya Ardija - Sagan Tosu	1:1
21.05.16	Sagan Tosu - Omiya Ardija	0:1
23.08.14	Omiya Ardija - Sagan Tosu	1:3
17.05.14	Sagan Tosu - Omiya Ardija	1:1

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