Match Info

JAPAN: J1 LEAGUE - ROUND 34

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Referee: Imamura Y. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Consadole Sapporo		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.35
	2.75	3.5	2.33
	2.65	3.45	2.41
	2.66	3.87	2.55
	2.7	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.63	3.62	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.09)	3.53 ↓ (3.63)	2.43 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
34.8%

Draw
26.6%

Shimizu S-Pulse
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

25.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.2%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Consadole Sapporo's form might have worsened.

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shimizu S-Pulse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Consadole Sapporo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	25%	45.8%

Consadole Sapporo - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Shimizu will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Consadole Sapporo has the most likely position - 10 (35.28%), has project points - 43, has currently - 42, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Shimizu has the most likely position - 17 (73.39%), has project points - 34, has currently - 33, has not chance of qualify for acl.

This event has quality 31, very small importance 0, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 2.

Recent matches Consadole Sapporo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shimizu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Consadole Sapporo won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Consadole Sapporo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
29.10.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Consadole Sapporo - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Consadole Sapporo - Kawasaki Frontale	4:3 ✺
18.09.22	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WTLWT
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
29.10.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:2 ✺
17.09.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:2 ✺
10.09.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
19.02.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Consadole Sapporo	1:1
06.11.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Consadole Sapporo	2:2
22.05.21	Consadole Sapporo - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0
21.11.20	Consadole Sapporo - Shimizu S-Pulse	5:1
08.08.20	Shimizu S-Pulse - Consadole Sapporo	3:1
17.08.19	Shimizu S-Pulse - Consadole Sapporo	0:8
09.03.19	Consadole Sapporo - Shimizu S-Pulse	5:2

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