Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kawasaki Frontale		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.70	3.80
	1.8	3.5	4.15	Watch
	1.85	3.8	4.58
	1.81	3.74	4.27	Watch
	1.81	3.6	4.5
	1.82	3.51	4.57	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	4.27 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
51.9%

Draw
26.1%

Shimizu S-Pulse
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

25.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kawasaki Frontale's performance.

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shimizu S-Pulse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 22. Uremovic F. 28. Maruyama Y. 5. Sasaki A. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 18. Konno K. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 17. Ito T. 20. Mochiyama K.	16. Umeda T. (G) 24. Sugai H. 3. Takahashi Y. 51. Sumiyoshi J. (C) 28. Yoshida Y. 47. Shimamoto Y. 13. Germain R. 17. Yumiba M. 21. Matsuzaki K. 19. Kinoshita K. 50. Fujii T.
Substitutes
97. Derik Lacerda 19. Kawahara S. 23. Marcinho 13. Miura S. 16. Ozeki Y. 4. Pedro Romano 3. Taniguchi H. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 25. Yamaichi S.	25. Brunetti M. 7. Capixaba 8. Inoue K. 81. Kozuka K. 9. Oh Se-Hun 1. Oki Y. (G) 14. Park Seung-Wook 70. Takagi S. 6. Won Du-Jae
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Mochiyama K. ⚽, Sasaki A. (A),
27', Fujii T. 🟨,
40', Sumiyoshi J. 🟥,
44', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Park Seung-Wook ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Konno K. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
46', Mochiyama K. ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
57', Kinoshita K. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
57', Fujii T. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
58', Yoshida Y. ↓, Brunetti M. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Oh Se-Hun (Penalty Awarded),
72', Marcinho 🟨,
73', Tachibanada K. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Derik Lacerda (A),
80', Brunetti M. 🟨,
82', Sasaki A. ↓, Miura S. ↑,
83', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
86', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
90+3', Ito T. ↓, Yamaichi S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 3.

In recent matches, Kawasaki has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kawasaki is the team to beat.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Ienaga A. (Calf Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Calf Injury) Miyagi T. (Inactive) Romanic L. (Injury)

There will not play in Shimizu: Won Du-Jae (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 59:21. (average 3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 41:14. (average 3.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6
16	Shimizu S-Pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.5%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTT
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
18.10.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	5:3
12.04.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	6:0
08.03.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	3:2
Japan J1 League
08.10.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:2
07.05.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2
24.10.21	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0

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