Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 38

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Referee: Nishimura Y. (Jpn)


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.1	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.61	3.27
	2.05	3.5	3
	2.12	3.68	3.14	Watch
	2.08	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.89)	3.51 ↓ (3.77)	3.15 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
44%

Draw
26.5%

Júbilo Iwata
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

24.1%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimizu S-Pulse's form might have worsened.

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Shimizu S Pulse - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Iwata will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 70. Hara T. 4. Takahashi Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 2. Yamahara R. 14. Shirasaki R. 3. Ronaldo 11. Nakayama K. 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos 9. Thiago Santana	21. Miura R. (G) 17. Suzuki Y. 6. Ito M. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 28. Kanuma N. 7. Uehara R. 14. Matsumoto M. 10. Yamada H. 33. Dudu 18. Germain R.
Substitutes
15. Kishimoto T. 5. Kitazume K. 13. Miyamoto K. 16. Nishizawa K. 20. Oh Se-Hun 1. Okubo T. (G) 28. Yoshida Y.	50. Endo Y. 13. Fujikawa K. 31. Furukawa Y. 42. Goto K. 81. Kajikawa Y. (G) 5. Ogawa D. 15. Suzuki K.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Yokouchi A.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shimizu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
30.09.23	Fujieda MYFC - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3 ✺
09.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWWT
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
01.10.23	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Fagiano Okayama - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:2 ✺
02.09.23	Blaublitz Akita - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.03.23	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:2
Japan J1 League
22.10.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
25.02.22	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2
02.11.19	Shimizu S-Pulse - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
18.09.19	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 penalties
Japan J League Cup
22.05.19	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2
Japan J1 League
14.04.19	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2

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