Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Copenhagen		Basel

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5
	1.72	3.8	4.4
	1.6	4.3	5.5
	1.62	4.2	5.57
	1.61	3.96	5.31	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.2
	1.61	4.3	5.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.04)	4.02 ↑ (3.63)	5.11 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
57.8%

Draw
23.6%

Basel
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

28.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Copenhagen's performance.

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Copenhagen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	8.1%	24.2%

Copenhagen - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 67 - 67.7%). Basel will win (votes: 24 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Copenhagen: 58.5% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Copenhagen (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Copenhagen (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Copenhagen will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 33 - 82.5%). Basel (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 13. Huescas R. 6. Hatzidiakos P. 5. Gabriel Pereira 15. Lopez M. 11. Larsson J. 8. Mattsson M. 12. Lerager L. (C) 30. Achouri E. 14. Cornelius A. 10. Elyounoussi M.	1. Hitz M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 26. Barisic A. 3. Vouilloz N. 31. Schmid D. 5. Metinho 22. Leroy L. 19. Soticek M. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 7. Otele P. 17. Broschinski M.
Substitutes
61. Buur O. (G) 7. Claesson V. 36. Clem W. 27. Delaney T. 4. Garananga M. 24. Meling B. 9. Moukoko Y. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 23. Sarapata D. 20. Suzuki J. 22. Zague Y.	23. Ajeti Al. 43. Akahomen M. 14. Bacanin A. 29. Cisse M. 39. Junior Ze 28. Kacuri D. 46. Kaio Eduardo 8. Koindredi K. 47. Pfeiffer T. (G) 40. Rexhaj A. 27. Ruegg K. 13. Salvi M. (G)
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Magnin L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Cornelius A. ⚽, Achouri E. (A),
61', Achouri E. ↓, Moukoko Y. ↑,
64', Mattsson M. ↓, Clem W. ↑,
69', Broschinski M. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
79', Leroy L. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
79', Soticek M. ↓, Junior Ze ↑,
80', Larsson J. ↓, Robert ↑,
81', Cornelius A. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Moukoko Y. (Pen),
85', Claesson V. 🟨,
87', Shaqiri X. ↓, Kaio Eduardo ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Copenhagen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Copenhagen is the team to beat.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Achouri E. (Hamstring Injury) Delaney T. (Injury) Hojer O. (Surgery) Onugkha G. (Inactive) West L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Basel: Adjetey J. (Red Card) Ruegg K. (Ankle Injury) van Breemen F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Copenhagen: Moalem J. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Basel: Traore B. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Copenhagen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Copenhagen - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 47.15%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
23.08.25	Copenhagen - OB Odense	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Basel - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
15.08.25	Nordsjælland - Copenhagen	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Copenhagen - Malmö	5:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
08.08.25	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWWL
- FC Basel
UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Basel - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
16.08.25	Biel-Bienne - Basel	1:6 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.08.25	Lugano - Basel	3:1 ✺
06.08.25	Basel - Young Boys	4:1 ✺
02.08.25	Basel - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Basel - Copenhagen	1:1

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