Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso (Coquimbo)

Referee: Quila M. (Chi)


	Coquimbo Unido		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	4	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.82	3.5	4
	1.93	3.57	4.21
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.64	4.15	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.04)	3.52 ↑ (3.1)	4.05 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coquimbo Unido
50.2%

Draw
26.7%

Deportes Magallanes
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

29.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coquimbo Unido's performance.

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Magallanes Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Coquimbo will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Magallanes will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coquimbo: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coquimbo won 1.

Recent matches Coquimbo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Magallanes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Coquimbo have a series of guest games.

Recently Magallanes have a series of home games.

In this match Coquimbo is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Coquimbo won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Coquimbo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
14.05.23	Unión La Calera - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
10.05.23	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Deportes Copiapó - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Unión Española - Coquimbo Unido	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLW
- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Primera Division
13.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
09.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
23.04.23	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.04.23	LDU Quito - Deportes Magallanes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.09.21	Deportes Magallanes - Coquimbo Unido	0:0
25.04.21	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Magallanes	1:1
01.09.18	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Magallanes	1:0
11.02.18	Deportes Magallanes - Coquimbo Unido	2:1
11.11.17	Deportes Magallanes - Coquimbo Unido	2:0
11.02.17	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Magallanes	1:1
04.12.16	Deportes Magallanes - Coquimbo Unido	1:2

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