The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coquimbo Unido 43.4%
Draw 29.8%
Universidad de Chile 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
29.7%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
28.7%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coquimbo Unido's performance.
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Chile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coquimbo Unido that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Chile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Coquimbo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Coquimbo: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez D. (G) 17. Salinas F. 2. Gazzolo B. 3. Fernandez M. 16. Cornejo J. 8. Camargo A. 7. Galani S. (C) 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 10. Vadala G. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 9. Johansen N.
25. Castellon G. (G) 2. Calderon F. 5. Ramirez N. 14. Morales M. 17. Hormazabal F. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 24. Romero L. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. 19. Altamirano J. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 11. Eduardo Vargas (C)
Substitutes
30. Chandia B. 14. Cordero S. 5. Escobar D. 1. Flores G. (G) 6. Glaby D. 4. Hernandez E. 12. Pratto L. 27. Riveros L. 15. Zavala C.
28. Arce A. 13. Cortes J. 32. Espinoza M. 6. Fernandez N. 18. Lucero J. 26. Riquelme M. 16. Rojas E. 15. Salomoni F. 1. Toselli C. (G)
Coaches
Caputto H.
Valladares J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Morales M. 🟨,
45', Galani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Johansen N. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
58', Azocar Machuca A. E. ↓, Chandia B. ↑,
58', Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
60', Altamirano J. 🟨,
64', Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
64', Altamirano J. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
70', Vadala G. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Guerrero Pena M. G. ⚽, Arce A. (A),
79', Morales M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
90', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
90+7', Fernandez M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Coquimbo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
U. De Chile
23
12
6
5
35:19
16
42
11
Coquimbo
23
8
5
10
31:32
-1
29
Last Results with these Odds
Coquimbo Unido - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Universidad de Chile - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.46%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Sanchez D. (G) 
Fernandez M. 
Camargo A. 
Romero L. 
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