Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso (Coquimbo)

Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)


	Coquimbo Unido		Racing

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.95
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.83	3.35	2.04
	3.83	3.31	2.05
	3.5	3.4	1.91	Watch
	3.63	3.46	2	Watch
	3.7	3.35	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.42)	3.38 ↓ (3.48)	1.99 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coquimbo Unido
25.4%

Draw
27.7%

Racing
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

26.9%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

27.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Coquimbo Unido - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez D. (G) 28. Cabrera S. 3. Fernandez M. 4. Hernandez E. 5. Escobar D. 7. Galani S. (C) 6. Glaby D. 26. Barrera C. 32. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 9. Chavez A. 10. Cabral L.	21. Arias G. (C) 2. Garcia A. 3. Di Cesare M. 13. Sosa S. 27. Rojas G. 32. Almendra A. E. 36. Zuculini B. 34. Mura F. 7. Salas M. 9. Adrian Martinez 28. Solari S.
Substitutes
24. Alvarado M. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 2. Cabrera B. 8. Camargo A. 30. Chandia B. 16. Cornejo J. 25. Cortes A. 20. Henriquez Neira J. A. 19. Johansen N. 1. Pinto M. (G) 14. Plaza D. 17. Salinas F.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 17. Carbonero J. 6. Colombo N. 47. Galvan I. 20. German Conti 1. Leon R. (G) 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 8. Quintero J. F. 22. Rodriguez B. 38. Rubio T. 18. Urzi A.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Solari S. ⚽,
35', Glaby D. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Arias G. (Own goal),
45+4', Fernandez M. 🟨,
45+4', Almendra A. E. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 2, Adrian Martinez (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cabrera S. ↓, Cornejo J. ↑,
46', Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↓, Chandia B. ↑,
54', Sosa S. 🟨,
66', Solari S. ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
74', Adrian Martinez ↓, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↑,
75', Zuculini B. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
76', Galani S. ↓, Camargo A. ↑,
76', Barrera C. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
88', Salas M. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
89', Almendra A. E. ↓, Quintero J. F. ↑,

Preview

Coquimbo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
20.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Universidad de Chile - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
07.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWWL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.24	Belgrano - Racing	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Racing - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.04.24	Racing - Lanús	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Racing	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.03.24	Central Córdoba - Racing	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

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