Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Sanchez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Ferrol		Elche

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.25	Watch
	3.3	2.87	2.2
	3.4	2.95	2.3	Watch
	3.74	2.96	2.35
	3.66	2.95	2.29	Watch
	3.59	2.95	2.3	Watch
	3.4	2.95	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.98)	2.95 ↑ (2.92)	2.28 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
26.8%

Draw
32%

Elche
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

32%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

32.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Ferrol - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 3. Correa R. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 21. Moi 24. Perea L. 17. Dorrio J. 10. Sene J. 8. Lopez A. 12. Bebe 9. Jauregi E.	13. Dituro M. (C) 14. Febas A. 12. Salinas J. 10. Mercau N. 4. Diaby B. 15. Nunez A. 31. Hernandez G. 19. El Ghezouani M. 9. Alvarez A. 36. Barzic M. 22. Affengruber D.
Substitutes
7. Borrego C. 15. Castro D. 2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 14. Gelardo A. 20. Gimenez A. 16. Manzanara F. 6. Sanz A. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	16. Alex Martin 40. Bosch O. (G) 21. Castro N. 17. Josan 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 7. Plano O. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G) 24. Santiago Y.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Puric A. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Jauregi E. ⚽,
31', Naldo 🟨,
31', Moi 🟨,
38', Salinas J. 🟨,
39', Perea L. ↓, Manzanara F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Bebe ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
58', Lopez A. ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
66', Hernandez G. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
66', Barzic M. ↓, Josan ↑,
69', Moi ↓, Delmas J. ↑,
69', Jauregi E. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
73', Diaby B. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
77', Nunez A. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
77', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
86', Diaby B. ↓, Salvador C. ↑,
90+7', Correa R. 🟨,
90+7', Alvarez A. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Ferrol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Elche is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elche will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury) Martinez B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Bunuel A. (Face Injury)

There are questionable in Elche: Santiago Y. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
29.09.24	Córdoba - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Ferrol - Albacete Balompié	1:4 ✺
15.09.24	Cádiz - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Ferrol - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.24	Málaga - Elche	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Elche - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Elche - Granada	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Zaragoza - Elche	3:0 ✺
02.09.24	Elche - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0
12.08.23	Elche - Ferrol	0:1

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