Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday


	Corinthian-Casuals		Horsham

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.73
	3.95	3.35	1.7
	3.85	3.55	1.75
	4.42	3.61	1.74
	4.2	3.7	1.62
	4.35	3.78	1.69
	4	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (2.65)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	1.71 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthian-Casuals
22%

Draw
25.2%

Horsham
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.1%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

25.9%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthian-Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthian-Casuals's form might have worsened.

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthian-Casuals than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthian-Casuals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Horsham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Corinthian Casuals - Horsham Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Corinthian-Casuals will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Horsham will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horsham: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Corinthian-Casuals could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthian-Casuals won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthian-Casuals
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.02.23	Bishops Stortford - Corinthian-Casuals	3:0 ✺
31.01.23	Bowers & Pitsea - Corinthian-Casuals	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Corinthian-Casuals - Bognor Regis Town	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Herne Bay - Corinthian-Casuals	3:1 ✺
14.01.23	Lewes - Corinthian-Casuals	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.01.23	Horsham - Billericay Town	3:1 ✺
14.01.23	Horsham - Margate	4:0 ✺
07.01.23	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Horsham - Hastings United	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.22	Horsham - Corinthian-Casuals	5:0
16.04.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Horsham	0:3
03.01.22	Horsham - Corinthian-Casuals	1:1
03.11.20	Horsham - Corinthian-Casuals	2:1
11.01.20	Horsham - Corinthian-Casuals	1:0
01.10.19	Corinthian-Casuals - Horsham	1:2
English FA Trophy
27.10.18	Horsham - Corinthian-Casuals	3:0

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