Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Cristian Garay Reyes ()

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
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Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
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Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Corinthians		Huracán Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	6.25	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5.5
	1.65	3.4	6	Watch
	1.67	3.44	6.21
	1.65	3.5	5	Watch
	1.63	3.54	6.32	Watch
	1.65	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	3.5 ↓ (3.71)	5.9 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
57.3%

Draw
26.8%

Huracán Buenos Aires
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.3%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

28.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huracán Buenos Aires might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Corinthians - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Matheus Donelli (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Torres F. 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 19. Carrillo A. 14. Raniele 70. Martinez J. 11. Angel Romero (C) 9. Yuri Alberto 10. Depay M.	1. Galindez H. (G) 29. De La Fuente H. 6. Pereyra F. 31. Pellegrino M. 25. Ibanez C. 5. Perez L. 10. Mazzantti W. 20. Ojeda E. 8. Gil L. 17. Alanis G. 26. Sequeira L.
Substitutes
80. Alex Santana 5. Andre Ramalho 27. Breno Bidon 25. Caca 35. Charles Rigon 40. Felipe Longo (G) 17. Giovane 22. Hernandez H. 46. Hugo 77. Igor Coronado 7. Maycon 43. Talles Magno	9. Abila R. 16. Cabral R. 23. Cantillo V. 2. Goitea N. 19. Lescano L. 32. Meza S. (G) 18. Miljevic M. 33. Moya S. 36. Rios M. 11. Urzi A. 21. Watson F. N. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Diaz R.	Kudelka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Sequeira L. ⚽, Gil L. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Raniele ⚽, Carrillo A. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Sequeira L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
46', Angel Romero ↓, Giovane ↑,
48', Raniele 🟨,
60', Carrillo A. 🟨,
63', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Andre Ramalho ↑,
71', Carrillo A. ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
74', Alanis G. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
81', Torres F. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
81', Sequeira L. ↓, Abila R. ↑,
89', Gil L. ↓, Goitea N. ↑,
89', Mazzantti W. ↓, Urzi A. ↑,

Preview

Corinthians is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Huracán in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Corinthians to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
30.03.25	Bahia - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.03.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.03.25	Corinthians - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.03.25	Corinthians - Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TTWWW
- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Banfield - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.03.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.03.25	Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Vélez Sársfield - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWWWW

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