Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 8

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: de Oliveira L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Israel	Sport 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	Fanatiz


	Corinthians		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.51	4.1	6.25
	1.49	3.85	6
	1.49	4.13	7.03
	1.49	4.01	6.85	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.44	4.15	6.81
	1.49	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)	4 ↓ (4.13)	6.43 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
62.4%

Draw
23.2%

São Bernardo
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.4%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Corinthians - São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (C) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Torres F. 47. Joao Pedro 21. Matheus Bidu 70. Martinez J. 14. Raniele 37. Ryan 77. Igor Coronado 20. Pedro Raul 11. Angel Romero	1. Alex Alves (G) 3. Helder Maciel (C) 13. Matheus Salustiano 97. Augusto 21. Hugo Sanches 31. Lucas Lima 17. Romisson 95. Para 11. Daniel Fabricio 77. Guilherme Queiroz 8. Leo Jaba
Substitutes
80. Alex Santana 5. Andre Ramalho 25. Caca 19. Carrillo A. 35. Charles Rigon 94. Depay M. 8. Garro R. 22. Hernandez H. 46. Hugo 33. Leo Mana 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 7. Maycon	6. Arthur Henrique 20. Emerson Santos 87. Felipe Azevedo 35. Foguinho 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 5. Kadi Silva 22. Leo Duarte 30. Lucas Rian 7. Lucas Tocantins 25. Pedro Carrerette 9. Rodolfo 10. Vitinho
Coaches
Diaz R.	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Ryan 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Romisson ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
46', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
55', Ryan ↓, Garro R. ↑,
60', Helder Maciel 🟨,
65', Pedro Raul ↓, Depay M. ↑,
67', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
70', Leo Jaba ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑,
75', Matheus Bidu ↓, Hugo ↑,
75', Igor Coronado ↓, Maycon ↑,
75', Martinez J. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
82', Lucas Lima ↓, Kadi Silva ↑,
90', Kadi Silva 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Angel Romero ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 0, Depay M. ⚽, Angel Romero (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Corinthians have a series of guest games.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.4:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
06.02.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
03.02.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Corinthians - EC Noroeste	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Ponte Preta - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWL
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
06.02.25	São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Internacional de Limeira - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	São Bernardo - Santos	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
23.01.25	São Bernardo - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
14.03.24	São Bernardo - Corinthians	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.01.24	São Bernardo - Corinthians	1:0
09.02.23	São Bernardo - Corinthians	2:0
16.02.22	Corinthians - São Bernardo	3:0
23.03.16	São Bernardo - Corinthians	0:3
11.03.15	Corinthians - São Bernardo	1:0
25.01.14	Corinthians - São Bernardo	0:1

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