Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: De Oliveira L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Netherlands	Canal+
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Fanatiz


	Ponte Preta		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.1
	3.6	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.08
	3.65	3.06	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.1
	3.51	3.26	2.09	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (5.03)	3.14 ↓ (3.5)	2.11 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
26.3%

Draw
29.6%

Corinthians
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

26.2%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponte Preta's performance.

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Ponte Preta - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 28. Pacheco 4. Saimon 15. Artur 14. Danilo Barcelos 18. Emerson Santos 55. Leo Oliveira 37. Serginho 10. Elvis (C) 7. Jean Dias 90. Darnlei	1. Hugo Souza (G) 35. Leo Mana 3. Torres F. 47. Joao Pedro 46. Hugo 70. Martinez J. 14. Raniele 43. Talles Magno 77. Igor Coronado 11. Angel Romero (C) 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
77. Bruno Lopes 13. Castro 26. Concha V. 8. Dudu 29. Everton Brito 20. Joao Gabriel 27. Luiz Felipe 2. Maguinho 35. Pedrinho 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 31. Victor Andrade	80. Alex Santana 5. Andre Ramalho 25. Caca 19. Carrillo A. 8. Charles Rigon 94. Depay M. 22. Hernandez H. 59. Jacaré 55. Luiz Eduardo 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 6. Palacios D. 37. Ryan
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Diaz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Artur 🟨,
16', Martinez J. 🟨,
21', Serginho ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Igor Coronado ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Talles Magno ⚽, Angel Romero (A),
76', Pacheco ↓, Maguinho ↑,
77', Hugo ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
77', Jean Dias ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
77', Talles Magno ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
80', Martinez J. 🟨,
84', Danilo Barcelos ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
84', Saimon ↓, Concha V. ↑,
84', Alex Santana 🟨,
87', Angel Romero ↓, Ryan ↑,
87', Yuri Alberto ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
90+3', Charles Rigon 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 2.

Corinthians is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ponte Preta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Corinthians will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17:28 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.01.25	Internacional de Limeira - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Ponte Preta - Santos	1:1 ✺
15.01.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.11.24	Avaí - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTTWL
- Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
22.01.25	Corinthians - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Corinthians - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
16.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Grêmio - Corinthians	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.24	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	0:1
12.03.22	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	5:0
07.03.21	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	2:1
30.01.20	Ponte Preta - Corinthians	2:1
26.01.19	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	1:0
17.01.18	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
29.10.17	Ponte Preta - Corinthians	1:0

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