Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 10

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Corinthians U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.88	3.4	3.5
	1.92	3.79	3.73
	1.89	3.56	3.61	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.5
	1.87	3.45	3.61
	2.02	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.02)	3.43 ↑ (3.15)	3.51 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians U20
47.7%

Draw
26.4%

Fluminense U20
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Fluminense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Corinthians U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Wesley Nata ⚽,
38', Christian Oliveira 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 2, Gorgulho G. ⚽,
74', 0 - 3, Wesley Nata (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Fluminense U20 has had a series of home games.

Corinthians U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Corinthians U20 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians U20
Brasileiro U20
29.04.26	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:4 ✺
26.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Criciúma U20 - Corinthians U20	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Corinthians U20 - Santos U20	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Corinthians U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWTT
- Fluminense U20
Brasileiro U20
29.04.26	Fluminense U20 - Santos U20	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Fluminense U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
18.04.26	Fluminense U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.04.26	Fluminense U20 - Vitória U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
17.07.25	Fluminense U20 - Corinthians U20	4:1
23.07.24	Fluminense U20 - Corinthians U20	2:1
Copa do Brasil U20
19.09.23	Corinthians U20 - Fluminense U20	3:1
13.09.23	Fluminense U20 - Corinthians U20	4:0
Brasileiro U20
07.04.23	Fluminense U20 - Corinthians U20	2:2
03.07.22	Corinthians U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0
27.07.21	Corinthians U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1

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