Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	16:00	Disney+


	Avaí		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.10	4.00	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.30
	2.16	3.10	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3.17	3.92
	2.28	3.04	3.37	Watch
	2.11	3.10	3.85
	2.09	3.08	3.78	Watch
	2.16	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
43.9%

Draw
30.3%

Athletic Club
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

30%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Avaí - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 22. Joao Vitor 3. Allyson 38. Jefferson Maciel 36. Douglas Teixeira 77. Ze Ricardo 8. Luiz Henrique 14. Daniel Penha 95. Wenderson 10. Jean Lucas (C) 19. Caio Suassuna	1. Luan Polli (G) 22. Diogo Batista 4. Belezi 19. Pool J. 6. Zeca (C) 5. Felipe Negrucci 17. Kauan Rodrigues 14. Yago Santos 16. Joao Miguel 11. Max 9. Carlinhos
Substitutes
23. Gabriel Cipriano 70. Gaspar 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 9. Leo Gamalho 25. Paulo Vitor 35. Pedrao 37. Rildo 5. Romildo Del Piage 11. Vizeu F. 2. Wallison 56. William	20. Aponza W. 8. Assis 7. Bruninho 2. Douglas Pele 23. Enzo Santos 15. Jota 18. Pedro Oliveira 13. Philipe Sampaio 12. Tony (G) 21. Vera D. 10. Yarlen
Coaches
Marquinhos	Alex Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Joao Vitor 🟨,
7', Zeca 🟨,
31', Joao Miguel 🟨,
34', Douglas Teixeira 🟨,
40', Wenderson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caio Suassuna ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
65', Yago Santos ↓, Vera D. ↑,
65', Luiz Henrique ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
66', Carlinhos ↓, Aponza W. ↑,
66', Wenderson ↓, Rildo ↑,
78', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
82', Joao Vitor ↓, Wallison ↑,
84', Max ↓, Yarlen ↑,
84', Zeca ↓, Enzo Santos ↑,
89', Allyson 🟨,
90', Douglas Teixeira ↓, William ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 14th).

In recent outings, Avaí has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Athletic has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Avaí is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Avaí: Juan Rocha (Injury) Pedro Cuiaba (Injury) Rildo (Inactive) William (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Athletic: Jhonatan Silva (Yellow Cards) Sidimar (Injury) Tavares R. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Avaí: Reynaldo (Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Avaí has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.7:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avaí against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Athletic Club	35	10	14	11	40:40	0	44
17	Avai	35	10	7	18	33:45	-12	37

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.65%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
11.10.26	Cuiabá - Avaí	0:1 ✺
07.10.26	Avaí - Londrina	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Avaí - Ceará	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Criciúma - Avaí	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
13.10.26	Athletic Club - Londrina	2:2 ✺
06.10.26	Goiás - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Athletic Club - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza - Athletic Club	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.06.26	Athletic Club - Avaí	1:0
01.11.25	Avaí - Athletic Club	2:1
14.07.25	Athletic Club - Avaí	4:0

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