Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 20

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Canal 11


	Coritiba		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.75	3.5	2.02
	3.69	3.54	2.11
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.44	3.44	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.35	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.75)	3.41 ↓ (3.51)	2.06 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
26.6%

Draw
27.7%

Flamengo
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.6%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.2%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	26.3%	57.9%

Coritiba - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Flamengo will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel (G) 29. Diogo Batista 13. Kuscevic B. 3. Henrique (C) 83. Jamerson 15. Fransergio 30. Robson 19. Gomez S. 6. Bruno Gomes 10. Marcelino Moreno 99. Edu	25. Matheus Cunha (G) 43. Wesley 15. Fabricio Bruno 4. Leo Pereira 16. Filipe Luis 5. Pulgar E. 20. Gerson 29. Victor Hugo 14. de Arrascaeta G. 27. Bruno Henrique 10. Gabriel (C)
Substitutes
7. Andrey 18. de Oliveira Barbosa D. 2. Hayner 37. Kaio Cesar 31. Liziero 27. Luan Polli (G) 21. Lucas Barbosa 17. Matheus Bianqui 33. Mauricio 16. Natanael 4. Reynaldo 9. Rodrigo Pinho	21. Allan 6. Ayrton Lucas 11. Everton 7. Everton Ribeiro 31. Luiz Araujo 34. Matheuzinho 30. Pablo 9. Pedro 3. Rodrigo Caio 17. Rossi A. (G) 1. Santos (G) 8. Thiago Maia
Coaches
Kosloski T.	Sampaoli J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 1.

Coritiba is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Flamengo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coritiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Flamengo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Coritiba: Boschilia (Injury) Jean Pedroso (Injury)

Last 21 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 17-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
13.08.23	Corinthians - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
06.08.23	Coritiba - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
30.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
24.07.23	Coritiba - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLWT
- Flamengo RJ
Copa do Brasil
16.08.23	Flamengo - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.08.23	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Flamengo	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.08.23	Cuiabá - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.08.23	Flamengo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
16.04.23	Flamengo - Coritiba	3:0
06.11.22	Coritiba - Flamengo	1:0
16.07.22	Flamengo - Coritiba	2:0
Copa do Brasil
16.06.21	Flamengo - Coritiba	2:0
10.06.21	Coritiba - Flamengo	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
21.11.20	Flamengo - Coritiba	3:1
15.08.20	Coritiba - Flamengo	0:1

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