Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 11

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	Fanatiz


	Botafogo RJ		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.92	3.46	4.59
	1.83	3.52	4.59	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.91	3.49	4.54	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.38 ↑ (3.32)	4.42 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
50.7%

Draw
28%

Coritiba
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

29.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Botafogo RJ - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raul Steffens (G) 2. Vitinho 15. Bastos 20. Barboza A. (C) 67. Hernandez J. 6. Medina C. 8. Danilo 23. Rodriguez S. 10. Montoro A. 14. Barrera J. 19. Arthur Cabral	22. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Tinga 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 36. Vini Paulista 19. Gomez S. (C) 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 77. Breno Lopes 32. Pedro Rocha
Substitutes
25. Allan 27. Caio Roque 88. Edenilson 75. Huguinho 7. Junior Santos 34. Justino G. 42. Kadu Santos 11. Matheus Martins 22. Neto (G) 28. Newton 9. Ramos C. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M.	33. Alves D. 28. Fabinho 6. Felipe Jonatan 88. Fernando Sobral 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 13. Keiller (G) 7. Lavega J. 78. Renato Marques 21. Thiago Santos 23. Tiago Coser 8. Wallisson 29. Willian Oliveira
Coaches
Carvalho F.	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Josue (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
46', Montoro A. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
49', Hernandez J. ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Danilo ⚽, Vitinho (A),
60', Vini Paulista ↓, Wallisson ↑,
65', Barrera J. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
70', Breno Lopes ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
70', Maicon ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
70', Wallisson 🟨,
71', Vitinho 🟨,
76', Vitinho ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Arthur Cabral ⚽, Edenilson (A),
79', Bruno Melo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
79', Pedro Rocha ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Lavega J. ⚽,
82', Gomez S. ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
85', Pedro Rangel 🟨,
89', Thiago Santos 🟨,
89', Barboza A. 🟨,
90+9', Jacy 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.

Botafogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Coritiba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Botafogo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo: Correa J. (Inactive) Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury) Marcal (Inactive) Ramos C. (Knock)

There will not play in Coritiba: Benassi (Toe Injury) Keno (Inactive) Pedro Morisco (Shoulder Injury) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Vitinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Jacy (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Coritiba: 0.24% Botafogo RJ: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.07%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Mirassol	3:2 ✺
29.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo RJ	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWLW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Coritiba - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Mirassol - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Coritiba - Remo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.11.23	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	1:1
30.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	4:1
17.09.22	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	2:0
29.05.22	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
27.08.21	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	0:1
05.06.21	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
19.12.20	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	1:2

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