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Current Win Probability
Corinthians 57.5%
Draw 25.2%
Coritiba 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
24%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
23.3%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Corinthians - Coritiba Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Coritiba (4.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique (C) 21. Matheus Bidu 29. Allan 7. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. 49. Andre 56. Gui Negao 10. Depay M.
12. Pedro Rangel (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 8. Wallisson 19. Gomez S. (C) 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 77. Breno Lopes 32. Pedro Rocha
Substitutes
5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 19. Carrillo A. 35. Charles Rigon 61. Dieguinho 4. Joao Pedro 51. Kaue (G) 52. Labyad Z. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 14. Raniele 11. Vitinho
28. Fabinho 22. Felipe Guimaraes 6. Felipe Jonatan 88. Fernando Sobral 39. Gustavo 13. Keiller (G) 20. Keno 7. Lavega J. 21. Thiago Santos 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista 29. Willian Oliveira
Coaches
Dorival Junior
Fernando Seabra
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Jacy ⚽, Josue (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Lucas Ronier ⚽, Josue (A),
57', Gui Negao ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
58', Garro R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
58', Allan ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
58', Breno Bidon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
69', Jacy ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
77', Breno Lopes ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
78', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
79', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
81', Depay M. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
84', Hugo Souza 🟨,
87', Pedro Rocha ↓, Fabinho ↑,
89', Carrillo A. 🟨,
90+5', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
90+5', Josue ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
90+8', Fabinho 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
Corinthians is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.
In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Corinthians: Felipe Longo
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Injury)
Labyad Z.
(Inactive)
Pereira M.
(Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
There will not play in Coritiba: Benassi
(Inactive)
Gomez S.
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Corinthians: Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
There are questionable in Coritiba: Lucas Crepaldi
(Inactive)
Pedro Morisco
(Injury)
Tiago Coser
(Inactive)
Tinga
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:14. (average 1.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.7:1).
Brazil
Ecuador
Mexico
Portugal
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Hugo Souza (G) 
Garro R. 
Depay M. 
Gomez S. (C) 
Josue 
Carrillo A. 
Labyad Z. 
Milans P. 
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