Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Coritiba		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.8	7
	1.5	3.55	6.1	Watch
	1.43	3.8	8
	1.47	4.14	8.62
	1.42	3.8	8
	1.44	4.1	8.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.78)	3.87 ↑ (3.46)	7.67 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
63.9%

Draw
24%

Sampaio Corrêa
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

17.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coritiba's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-29.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coritiba - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 10).

Recent matches Coritiba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampaio Corrêa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coritiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Coritiba is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.21	Vasco da Gama - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
08.10.21	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
04.10.21	Remo - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
28.09.21	Coritiba - Confiança	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Coritiba - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
09.10.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1 ✺
30.09.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Remo	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Botafogo RJ - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.07.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Coritiba	2:3
10.08.18	Coritiba - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
14.04.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Coritiba	2:0

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