Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Lopez D. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.8
	2.63	2.85	2.75
	2.6	2.9	2.75
	2.69	3.06	2.99
	2.55	2.9	2.88
	2.56	3.1	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.3)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	2.84 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
35.8%

Draw
31.5%

Vasco da Gama
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

34%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

34.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	68.7%	9.4%

Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1.

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vasco is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
09.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Ituano	2:0 ✺
01.07.22	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1 ✺
27.06.22	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
23.06.22	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	Grêmio - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
09.07.22	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
29.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
24.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
18.06.22	Londrina - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.10.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	1:0
09.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
20.08.16	Vasco da Gama - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
14.05.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	0:4
23.09.14	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	2:2
20.05.14	Vasco da Gama - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1

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