Match Info

Premier Division - Round 36

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Turners Cross (Cork)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Cork City		Derry City

	1	X	2
	6	3.4	1.57	Watch
	5.9	3.95	1.5
	5.47	4.34	1.55	Watch
	6.16	3.49	1.61	Watch
	5.8	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.87 ↑ (5.47)	3.88 ↓ (4.34)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cork City
15.8%

Draw
24%

Derry City
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

21.8%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

21.3%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Cork City - Derry City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Derry (3.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derry City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Derry (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Brann C. (G) 8. McLaughlin E. 4. Kelleher F. (C) 19. Kiernan M. 17. Crowley D. 23. Anderson F. 6. Bolger G. 28. Feely R. 25. Murray M. 20. Fitzpatrick J. 24. Maguire S.	1. Maher B. (G) 24. Todd S. 23. Dummigan C. 2. Boyce R. 22. Stott J. 13. Benson R. 11. Whyte G. 19. Fleming B. 20. Winchester C. 15. Diallo S. 7. Duffy M. (C)
Substitutes
15. Drinan C. 31. Kamara K. 9. Keating R. 29. Lutz C. 5. Lyons C. 16. Murray S. 14. Nelson K. 2. Nevin H. 1. Odumosu D. (G)	25. Bannon A. 16. Cann H. 6. Connolly M. 26. Doherty A. (G) 41. Downey C. 3. Ferguson S. 0. Frizzell A. 33. Long R. 21. Mullen D.
Coaches
Nash G.	Lynch T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Duffy M. ⚽, Winchester C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Murray M. ↓, Nelson K. ↑,
53', Crowley D. ↓, Nevin H. ↑,
55', Stott J. 🟨,
65', Bolger G. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
65', Feely R. ↓, Lyons C. ↑,
65', Maguire S. ↓, Keating R. ↑,
65', Whyte G. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
75', Boyce R. 🟨,
81', Diallo S. ↓, Frizzell A. ↑,
81', Benson R. ↓, Connolly M. ↑,

Preview

Cork City is Relegated to Division 1

Derry is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 0.

Cork City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Derry is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Derry is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cork City: Keating R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nevin H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Derry: Akinyemi D. (Injury) Bannon A. (Injury) Boyce L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cork City: Murray S. (Injury) O'Sullivan C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Derry: Connolly M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cork City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cork City
Irish Premier Division
25.10.25	Sligo Rovers - Cork City	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Drogheda United - Cork City	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Cork City - Shelbourne	1:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
03.10.25	Cork City - St Patricks Athletic	3:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
26.09.25	Galway United - Cork City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLLWL
- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
26.10.25	Derry City - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Waterford - Derry City	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Drogheda United - Derry City	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Derry City - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
08.08.25	Derry City - Cork City	0:0
09.05.25	Cork City - Derry City	1:2
04.04.25	Derry City - Cork City	2:1
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.24	Cork City - Derry City	0:1
Irish Premier Division
27.10.23	Cork City - Derry City	0:1
23.06.23	Derry City - Cork City	2:0
21.04.23	Cork City - Derry City	1:3

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