Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Cornellà		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.8	2.45
	2.9	2.65	2.45
	2.9	2.85	2.5
	2.9	2.75	2.49
	3.12	2.73	2.65
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	2.9	2.88	2.49
	2.9	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.55)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)	2.5 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
31.1%

Draw
32.7%

Numancia
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

32.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cornellà, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Cornellà - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Cornellà is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Numancia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.12.22	SD Logroñés - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Cornellà - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Cornellà - Real Sociedad B	2:2 ✺
19.11.22	Eldense - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTTL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.22	Numancia - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
07.12.22	Castellón - Numancia	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Numancia - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Barcelona B - Numancia	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Numancia - Sabadell	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLWT

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